Some examples that could resolve this to YES:
A Twitter thread that goes viral about how inappropriate a certain market question is.
A Twitter thread that goes viral about how Manifold as a platform allows people to incentivize assassinations or other bad actions.
A strongly critical news article on Manifold that achieves significant community spread.
A calm, well-reasoned discussion about the pros and cons of Manifold doesn't count. There must be outrage and anger in order for this to resolve YES.
Markets on various sizes of controversy:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ133 | |
| 2 | Ṁ120 | |
| 3 | Ṁ114 | |
| 4 | Ṁ92 | |
| 5 | Ṁ76 |
This one was borderline, but I don't know of any particular thread that got close to 1000 likes, so NO seems best.
⚠Unreceptive to pings
📢Resolved to NO; If this is incorrect, the creator can correct since they are a mod
Arguably the Santa Paws thing could count for this too? Hard to do the math but probably the set of unique people who liked either the original Momo tweet or the followup organizer tweets is > 1000. Not betting it up because I have no particular evidence that's the case.
@IsaacKing Just the stuff in the comment on the other market: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-manifold-be-the-subject-of-ext#MwZCjGS3x9cUx0c8HD7J
I think there's a solid chance it doesn't qualify, but not sure how to evaluate fairly.
No - I was just sort of musing that the unique likers across all the tweets involved might be > 1000. I don't have any more links than what is in that post and no way to check uniqueness across tweets either, so this is mostly not constructive and you can feel free to ignore. There's ~3000 mana on the line if someone wants to attack the data with some elbow grease though. A lot of the tweets are deleted now which makes it harder too.
What counts as a person being involved?
eg. if a tweet has 1000 impressions does that count? Or does it need to have 1000 likes? 1000 comments?
It is extremely unlikely that someone plan an assassination in order to win a few Ṁ.
It is quite likely that someone creates troll markets inappropriate enough to trigger a viral twitt, to gain some Ṁ on this particular market. Especially as you, @IsaacKing have already created such markets for similar purpose.
I would prefer that you stop testing the limit of moderation and/or outrage.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?