
Will any billionaire be killed by an asteroid or other natural space object before 2050?
Will any billionaire be killed by an asteroid or other natural space object before 2050?
16
1kṀ6822050
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They must be a billionaire at the time, denoted in nominal USD.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Presuming space junk doesn't count? I could see space junk bringing down something in orbit while a billionaire was on board.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a billionaire die in a rocket related incident before the end of 2025
5% chance
Will anyone die in space before 2030?
30% chance
Will any decabillionaire be murdered before 2026?
16% chance
Will a major asteroid impact the Earth before the end of 2050?
19% chance
Will anyone be killed by falling space debris before the end of 2032?
9% chance
Will someone die in outer space before 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a single death due to meteorite before 2100?
17% chance
Will any country attempt to weaponize an asteroid by 2075?
36% chance
Will anyone die at least 100,000km from Earth before 2030?
18% chance
Will an astronomical event (e.g., asteroid impact) wipe out humanity by 2100?
3% chance