
Lunar Gateway first occupied by a crew before 1/1/2028?
6
Ṁ150Ṁ4082028
9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Other resolution criteria than time are the same as in the corresponding Metaculus market.
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13785/first-occupation-of-lunar-gateway/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2027?
89% chance
Lunar Gateway first occupied by a crew before 1/1/2029?
17% chance
Will Lunar Gateway be visited by a non-Artemis crew before 2030?
9% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2026?
1% chance
Will Lunar Gateway be visited by a non-Artemis crew before 2035?
42% chance
Will the first Lunar Gateway modules launch before 2028?
19% chance
Will the first Lunar Gateway modules launch later than 2025?
85% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2028?
85% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2029?
89% chance