
Will a single company in S&P 500 have a larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2035?
25
1kṀ10k2035
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES, it is enough that the condition holds at any moment before January 1, 2035, and after June 15, 2024.
A related market (for year 2030): https://manifold.markets/IhorKendiukhov/will-a-single-company-in-sp-500-hav?r=SWhvcktlbmRpdWtob3Y
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the combined market cap of Canadian companies exceed the market cap of individual US companies on May 31, 2025?
Will a single company in S&P 500 have larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2030?
5% chance
Will the S&P 500 reach 10000 pts before 2030?
40% chance
Will S&P 500 increase in 2025?
59% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in one day in 2025?
1% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2030?
66% chance
Will there be more than 10 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2025?
58% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?
8% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?
40% chance
What company will have the biggest market cap by the start of 2050?