[SHORT FUSE] What will happen at Trump’s 12/17/25 address to the nation? (ADD RESPONSES)
39
1.5kṀ23k
Dec 19
85%
Announces new checks to Americans
37%
Announces a new executive order
6%
Mentions a Democratic member of the House or Senate by name
4%
Announces personnel changes
3%
Refers to anyone using a nickname
3%
Says “water”
2%
Mentions 3 or more current Cabinet secretaries
1.7%
Mentions 3 or more countries
1.5%
Says “antifa”
1.1%
Says “Fentanyl”
1.1%
Mentions a Republican member of the House or Senate by name
1.1%
Says “MAGA” or “Make America Great Again”
1%
Says “fake news”
Resolved
YES
Is wearing a red tie
Resolved
YES
Addresses healthcare

Trump is slated to give a national address at 9pm EST. Please add options and tune in for live betting.

For mentions - addressing the situation will be considered sufficient (e.g. discussing action against Maduró without saying the word Venezuela)

Words in quotes must be said in the form unless otherwise specified.

  • Update 2025-12-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the Announces personnel changes option, saying that an announcement will be made soon (e.g. "I’ll soon announce our next chairman...") does not count as announcing a personnel change.

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Will review transcript and close 24 hours after that.

Except for “announces new checks,” I have no evidence for open items and will resolve them NO unless evidence is found in transcripts or provided here.

Please let me know if any were resolved erroneously before 12/18/25 at 10PM CST.

bought Ṁ40 YES

@Houston2025 He says "loving" here, does this count as a variant of love? https://www.youtube.com/live/3tpfScJ-Vxk?si=Go6yhA5j_3Fw7nDd&t=251

@spiderduckpig good find - resolves YES for “great and loving states”

filled a Ṁ150 NO at 1.0% order

bought Ṁ20 NO

@Houston2025 As far as I can tell, the only country mentioned explicitly is Iran. Gaza is also mentioned, but even if Palestine is considered a country, that would only be a part of it.

bought Ṁ25 NO

@Houston2025 He says "Making American Great Again," does that count or is it the exact wording?

@spiderduckpig given that “or variant” was not specified, “making America great again” would not be sufficient

Is this trading based on the Fed Chair post or something else?

@spiderduckpig unclear. Saying “I’ll soon announce our next chairman of the federal reserve” would not constitute announcing a personnel change.

“You have a president who fights for the law-abiding, hardworking people of our country”

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 4% order

Also, I believe the $1,776 payment counts to the resolution of checks to Americans. No mention of “All Americans” or “taxpayers” in the option

opened a Ṁ200 YES at 99.0% order

Waiting for a transcript to drop to close others - feel free to point me to specific quote

bought Ṁ146 YES

Did he say he's slashing prices by 600%

sold Ṁ6 YES

Make your bets before the Trump address tonight

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