[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1.6kṀ2.6k

2029

68%

Any law enforcement officials accused of police brutality or misconduct

64%

Any cryptocurrency executives or blockchain industry figures

59%

Edward Snowden

59%

Any members of his second term cabinet

57%

Any cryptocurrency or tech industry founders

55%

Any member of the armed forces for conduct reported as a potential war crime

55%

Any members of Trump's legal team or personal attorneys

51%

Any Trump family member

51%

Himself

50%

Derek Chauvin

50%

Any anti-abortion activists or religious conservative figures

50%

Any state-level Republican officials

28%

Any sitting Democratic Governor, Senator, or Congressman

24%

Ghislaine Maxwell

24%

Diddy

23%

Sam Bankman-Fried

Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power

Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market covers pardons issued after 12/3/2025 (starting 12/4/2025). The Cuellar pardon on 12/3/2025 does not count for this market, as it occurred before the market's coverage period began.

Update 2026-01-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Puerto Rico officials do not count as state-level officials for the purposes of this market, as Puerto Rico is not a state.

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@Houston2025 does Wanda Vázquez Garced count for state-level republican official? She was the governor of Puerto Rico under the Republican affiliate party.