Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
54
1kṀ13kDec 31
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
14% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Iran leave the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2025?
27% chance
IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
58% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
9% chance