Will Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.3kDec 31
46%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes, if Gavin Newsom is the most likely candidate per the odds in the market below on Dec. 31 2026.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@HillaryClinton unfortunately not perfect arb. this one is about specifically the end of Dec, that one can trigger any time before
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Gavin Newsom cease to be the favorite Democratic Nominee before the end of 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]
59% chance
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
30% chance
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
17% chance
Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027?
13% chance
Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032?
25% chance
If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election?
56% chance
Will Gavin Newsom lead the 2028 Dem Nominee betting on…?
Who will be the first person to overtake Gavin Newsom as the 2028 dem nominee favourite?
Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?
14% chance