Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models, generate more than $5B revenue in 2025?
Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models, generate more than $5B revenue in 2025?
11
1kṀ8002026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Note that the year for this market is 2025, not 2024 like the other ones
According to Headphones Addict Airpods generated $1.76B in the first full year of 2017, and are widely considered a success by now.
At $3500 that's around 1.4M units.
If Apple launch more headsets with VisionOS they also count toward the revenue.
Will resolve whenever numbers are out, which will probably be before the end of June.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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