MANIFOLD
At EOY 2025, will ByteDance own the American version of TikTok?
73
Ṁ1kṀ16k
resolved Jan 5
Resolved
YES

US politicians are once again making moves to ban or force divestment on TikTok in. Will it succeed this time, and if so when?

Some other questions ask if TikTok will "be banned" or "forced to change ownership", which describes an earlier part of the process or seems vague. This question concerns the actual ownership, at the time of resolution.

Edit: As clarified in the comments, if the app is shut down/inactive/banned in the US/... but still owned by TikTok, and the company hasn't A) shut down or B) divested the app. In such cases, this question resolves YES.

Question might resolve YES early in case there's a fully finished transaction to another entity.

I will not trade in this market, in case resolution gets tricky.

See sister question with same criteria for EOY 2024:

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ1,238
2Ṁ1,121
3Ṁ525
4Ṁ409
5Ṁ276
Sort by:

Questions:

1) If a deal is only announced but not completed by the closing time, how would you resolve?

2) If ByteDance owns a certain percentage of share of the new company that owns the American version of TIkTok, would you resovle to Yes or to percentage?

filled a Ṁ63 YES at 59% order

The goal posts have moved again.

———

Trump says he signed executive order extending deadline for TikTok closing

https://ground.news/article/trump-says-he-signed-executive-order-extending-deadline-for-tiktok-closing?utm_source=mobile-app&utm_medium=newsroom-share

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy