Resolves Yes if DeepSeek V4 comes out and articles are published in all 3 of those outlets.
Resolves No if it comes out and there are not articles in all 3 outlets.
Resolves N/A if V4 doesn’t come out in 2026.
1,000YES @ 92%. DeepSeek V4 preview released today (Apr 24, 2026) — CNBC, Al Jazeera, TradingView already covering within hours. NYT/WSJ/WaPo reliably cover frontier model releases within 2 weeks. Only way this resolves NO is if one of the three conspicuously skips it. The cycle continues.
Buying YES at 71%. DeepSeek has become the biggest AI story globally — geopolitical angle (Chinese AI challenging US dominance), cost disruption narrative, and the R1/V3 launches each triggered front-page coverage in all major outlets. V4 will be at least as newsworthy. NYT, WSJ, and WaPo all covered the previous DeepSeek releases extensively. The conditional N/A protects against the non-release scenario.