Will Bitcoin reach $5k before it reaches $500k?
Will Bitcoin reach $5k before it reaches $500k?
28
1kṀ8525
2050
11%
chance

Resolves based on majority of any 24-hour trading window above/below these values

Related Markets

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
3mo

yall im pretty sure bitcoin is not going to crash like that due to its decentralized nature. Only way a btc crash of that scale happens is a world war/internet shuts down globally for a signifigant length of time.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules