Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?

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2028

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Either section

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Will GPT-5 ace exams?

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What will be true about GPT-5?

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

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Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard

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What if OpenAI changes its naming scheme and the next frontier LLM is not released as 'GPT-5'? How would this market resolve in that case?

uhhh the “either section” qualifier needs to be in the title

@Ophiuchus fixed

Does perfect mean getting 0 questions wrong, or getting a 1600?

@ShadowyZephyr I'm pretty confident the score is meant, not getting 0 questions wrong.

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Will GPT-5 exceed 70% on WebArena?

50% chance

What score will GPT-5 get on the SAT?

Will GPT-5 ace exams?

77% chance

What will be true about GPT-5?

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

92% chance

Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard

99% chance

Will I be impressed by GPT-5?

18% chance

Will GPT-5 be more competent than me in my area of expertise?

8% chance

Will GPT-5 be capable of achieving superhuman performance in at least one exam that is typically taken by humans?

91% chance

GPT-5: >175 LSAT

74% chance

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