26% chance. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor participates in an officially sanctioned UFC bout between June 15 and December 31, 2023 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An "officially sanctioned UFC bout" includes all official UFC events, such as pay-per-view, Fight Night, and any other event sanctioned by the UFC. Appearances by Conor McGregor on The Ultimate Fighter reality TV show will not count towards the resolution of this market. Any announcements made by Conor McGregor or the UFC regarding his return or retirement will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once its end date has passed and Conor McGregor has not participated in an officially sanctioned UFC fight in that time.