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MANIFOLD
When will war on Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ will end?
44
αΉ€1kαΉ€8.6k
2027
0.9%
2024
0.9%
2025
15%
2026
26%
2027
48%
None of these choices are correct. (It will end int the next years rather than 2027)
9%
Other

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sold αΉ€10 NO

This market doesn't really seem to make sense; there are effectively two "other" options

bought αΉ€50 NO

Based on the Economist superforcaster prediction: