First region where US initiates military operations by July 2025
7
Ṁ100Ṁ647resolved Aug 14
100%99.0%
Middle East
0.2%
South China Sea
0.2%
Taiwan Strait
0.2%
Eastern Europe
0.2%
Korean Peninsula
0.3%Other
Based on current global tensions, which region will see the first US-initiated military operations? Resolution criteria: Official Pentagon announcements or verified media reports of US forces initiating combat operations. Source: https://www.defense.gov/News/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ51 | |
| 2 | Ṁ43 | |
| 3 | Ṁ6 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Where will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]
Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?
Will US troops be deployed in combat operations in an overseas conflict before end of 2030
53% chance
Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?
54% chance
Will the US have 5 consecutive days of active military operations in Venezuela at any point in 2026?
37% chance
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029
7% chance
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
5% chance
US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029
21% chance
Will the USA make another territorial acquisition by EOY 2035?
29% chance
What countries will the US be at war with in 2029?