Update 2025-11-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If MTG resigns and doesn't run for reelection in congress, the market will resolve NO.
If she runs for a different congressional district, that would count as reelection.
Running for positions like city council would NOT count as reelection.
Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve immediately despite MTG's resignation. The creator will wait until the filing deadline in mid-March 2026 to see if she runs for reelection in the regular 2026 election (not the special election to replace her).
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@AlistairgzAz well if she resigns and doesn’t run for reelection in congress I will resolve NO.
If she runs for a different congressional district or something I’d count that, but not for like, city council
Most likely this resolves no.
@Jack1 She can still theoretically run for reelection (not in the special election to replace her, but in the real 2026 election). The filing deadline is in about a month (mid-march) so I'm going to wait in case she runs, however unlikely.