MANIFOLD
First assassination attempt target: Trump or Putin?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ352
resolved Jan 1
ResolvedN/A
80%
Tump
20%
Putin

Who is the main target?

  • Update 2025-08-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolves to who is targeted first.

    • Will count threats, cyber attacks, leaked info, etc. related to assassination as long as they make the news.

    • If no such news-reported targeting occurs by the market close (Dec 31, 2025), it may resolve N/A.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Ukraine-Russia war
Vladimir Putin
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Does this resolve n/a if neither has an assassination attempt against them by dec 31?

Well, this is mainly about who will be targetted first. Threats with words, cyber attacks,leaked info etc. related to the assassinations, as long as they make the news will be taken into account. I am sure that something will come up, but if not then it could possibly end in n/a.

@Gemc ohh so this is about news of a planned attack, not news of an attempted attack?

@MaxE Correct but an attempted attack will also be accepted

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