Will a major US survey by end of 2026 show that >1% of respondents believe AI systems are conscious?
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Ṁ100Ṁ124resolved May 25
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This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, a survey meeting the following criteria is published:
Survey Requirements:
- Conducted by a recognized US polling organization, academic institution, or reputable research firm
- Sample size of at least 1,000 US respondents
- Published results available publicly
I will not bet in this market.
Update 2025-05-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that a qualifying survey has been identified and this market will resolve 'Yes'. See the creator's comment for more details.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Nick6d8e Yes! Should have looked harder for this, or bumped up the number to resolve.
This question will resolve ‘Yes’.
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