Will a major US survey by end of 2026 show that >1% of respondents believe AI systems are conscious?
5
100Ṁ74
2026
75%
chance

This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, a survey meeting the following criteria is published:

Survey Requirements:

- Conducted by a recognized US polling organization, academic institution, or reputable research firm

- Sample size of at least 1,000 US respondents

- Published results available publicly

I will not bet in this market.

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