Will a law be passed to remove taxes on overtime pay by 2028? | Manifold

Will a law be passed to remove taxes on overtime pay by 2028?

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4

Ṁ175

2029

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to "yes" if a law is passed that removes taxes on overtime pay.

See: https://taxfoundation.org/blog/trump-overtime-tax-exemption/

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Registering an initial prediction of P[Trump is elected] \* P[Trump passes no-tax on tips] as being no greater than 0.5 \* 0.5 . Actual chances are probably lower than that but I'll let more informed traders scoop up some liquidity.

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