Will the Brazilian military engage the Venezuelan military leading to casualties by EOY 2024?
14
Ṁ210Ṁ758resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves yes if the any part of the Brazilian military and the Venezuelan military interact in a way where violence is done and AT LEAST 3 people are injured or killed.
According to Wikipedia on Nov 29:
The Brazilian Army mobilizes towards the border of Venezuela and Guyana, anticipating a possible Venezuelan military invasion of Guayana Esequiba.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ42 | |
| 2 | Ṁ32 | |
| 3 | Ṁ20 | |
| 4 | Ṁ14 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Military conflict between the US and Venezuela in 2026?
99% chance
Will the US have 5 consecutive days of active military operations in Venezuela at any point in 2026?
37% chance
Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026?
15% chance
Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
48% chance
Will another USA attack happens in Venezuelan soil in 2026?
35% chance
Will there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026?
17% chance
Will Brazil join NATO by the end of 2026?
3% chance
[Metaculus] If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?
81% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?
53% chance
Will Australia deploy troops to Venezuela in support of US forces before 2028?
5% chance