This is going to be interesting with loans. Imo it should go way higher as 25/day is almost nothing compared to loans. I will personally be betting around 1000 yes/day for a bit of time until it goes up to at least 80-85%.

@GastonKessler on the other hand, the YES condition might never occur. If you're going to pump your loans into a sure bet, there might be better opportunities.

@Fion well above that 80-85% threshold, maybe (although I'm not sure I would be able to find them) but below that, I don't think I'd find many better options.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aladdin_(BlackRock)

Many such cases …

I don't believe assisting the board, or even replacing members of the board, is the same as "appointed to the board"

@traders buy more YES please!

@traders nonono, don't listen to this guy, he doesn't know what he's talking about, buy more NO please!

NO order @ 63

ooo interesting market

.

@DavidChee I feel like this market should not be unranked

@SirSalty

@FranklinBaldo FWIW this case is explicitly listed in the guidelines as something that would be unranked because it "could only ever resolve one way"

https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Guidance-for-running-a-market-8cb4257ed3644ec9a1d6cc6c705f7c77

Why would you want it to be ranked? That basically just means that people will battle over it at the end of month for leagues lol.

@jack Jack, I see your point that according to the guidelines, this market is the type that should be unranked since it could only resolve one way. However, I think this particular market has some prediction value .

My main interest in inquiring about the "unranked" tag is that it seems to have additional effects beyond just Leagues. For example, I created a new tag called "ai-in-sp500-board-of-directors" and add it to the market but it does not show up in the tag markets listing here: https://manifold.markets/browse/ai-in-sp500-board-of-directors

So I'm curious if the "unranked" designation impacts tag visibility and potentially other aspects of how markets function on the platform. The leagues and competition side is less important to me. Although more drama coming from leagues would be fun for this market.

@FranklinBaldo I think there's a tag limit of 4 for something, possibly causing this issue? In which case if you remove one of Free Money or Free Mana, which are basically the same thing, my guess would be that this problem would go away. someone please confirm or correct me if they know better

@Bayesian it's funny because it appears to be counting for the leader board of the tag:

@Bayesian I did as you suggest and it worked. Thanks a lot.

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/by-when-will-an-be-artificial-agent

@AmmonLam nice.

And using the new numeric market type:

@FranklinBaldo also this

Why 80%? Why not 70%?

@FranklinBaldo Your daily M25 buys more NO's at 80% than at 70%. So for your own benefit, why not 90-95%?

@deagol 😂😂

What happens to this market if the creator leaves?

@HarrisonNathan adressed here https://manifold.markets/FranklinBaldo/this-market-resolves-yes-when-an-ar#MSuhkvrSczmwAQsJYQvi