Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?

24

Ṁ1kṀ11k

resolved Jan 4

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Question created after watching this recent Wendover video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AL57dSIXqBM

Dam Failure as defined in this Wiki Article
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dam_failure

Will be resolved in to NO on 1st of January 2026 if no failures that meet criteria were observed.
Will be resolved to YES in case a reputable news source confirms a failure with fatality rates exceeding said treshold.

Might update description based on discussion.

FYI from the Wikipedia article it appears that the last dam failure meeting this criteria was in 1977 (Kelly Barnes Dam Georgia)

PS: read my bio wrt my bets on my own questions.

The Troubling Danger of Dams

Use code "wendover" to get an exclusive 60% off an annual Incogni plan: https://incogni.com/wendoverWatch Jet Lag: The Game at http://youtube.com/jetlagthega...

Market context

Natural Disasters

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ257
2		Ṁ98
3		Ṁ42
4		Ṁ27
5		Ṁ20

Sort by:

This one might deserve some renewed attention

People are also trading

Will there be another record setting deadliest natural disaster in the United States before the end of 2029?

Will there be another record setting deadliest natural disaster in the United States before the end of 2040?

Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Will there be a mass shooting in the US more deadly than the 2017 Las Vegas shooting before 2030?

Will 10% of San Francisco die in any year from disaster, before 2029?

Will 10% of San Francisco die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Will 10% of New York city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Will 10% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035

Related questions

Will there be another record setting deadliest natural disaster in the United States before the end of 2029?

Will there be another record setting deadliest natural disaster in the United States before the end of 2040?

Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2026?

Will there be a mass shooting in the US more deadly than the 2017 Las Vegas shooting before 2030?

Will 10% of San Francisco die in any year from disaster, before 2029?

Will 10% of San Francisco die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Will 10% of New York city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Will 10% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy