TX-28 House election: Henry Cuellar vote percent

Question

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/vote-percentages-in-us-general-elections/kxvotegeneral-housetx28-26hcue

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Henry Cuellar in the 2026 TX-28 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, At least 48%, followed by At least 52% and At least 50% are most likely. See the market for live updates (5 traders, as of Nov 4, 2026).

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