Will Astra's Rocket 4 reach orbit before the end of 2024?
8
Ṁ150Ṁ1.9kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will it (or a payload launched on it) succeed and reach orbit by EOY 2024?
Reach orbit means perigee above 100km. It does not have to go all the way around, but orbit means orbit, not near-orbital. If the second stage is on a re-entry (near-orbital) trajectory but the payload circularizes and reaches orbit, that counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ95 | |
| 2 | Ṁ9 | |
| 3 | Ṁ6 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?
10% chance
Will Astra's Rocket 4 ever achieve orbit?
49% chance
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2026?
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
98% chance
Will a rocket launched from Taiwan reach orbit before the end of 2030?
10% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
20% chance
Will Astro Mechanica make it to orbit before 2030?
30% chance
Will a rocket built by Relativity Space ever achieve orbit?
81% chance
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2027?
98% chance
