Nuclear War 2025: How many of the linked markets resolve Yes?
14
Ṁ10kṀ57kresolved Jan 1
100%99.0%
0
0.3%
1
0.1%
2
0.1%
3
0.1%
4-5
0.1%
6-8
0.1%
9-12
0.1%
13-17
From these three markets, counting the sub-questions individually:
/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-c8fe71e2c9cf
/EvanDaniel/which-countries-will-detonate-a-nuc-xh4ms2fck1
/EvanDaniel/will-nuclear-weapons-cause-at-least
This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to the resolution of the underlying markets.
Update 2025-03-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: January 2026 to reflect events in 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@EvanDaniel Is this meant to resolve in january 2025, or january 2026? if the latter you might want to extend the close date by a year. otherwise I'm maybe misunderstanding something
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