Will changes to South Korea's mandatory military service be announced by the end of 2024?
21
Ṁ1kṀ2.9kDec 31
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently, all men between the ages of 18-35 in Korea have to serve mandatory military service for 21-24 months.
Resolution Criteria
A clear plan of action has to be announced for this to count.
For example, an announcement of generic goals without an outlined plan of action won't count.
A change in pay will not count as a significant change. A minor change in medical exemption criteria will also not count as a significant change.
Some changes could include:
change in length
no longer mandatory
option opened to everyone to choose civil service instead of military service
women are forced to join
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will South Korea make the Blue House the presidential office again by the end of 2027?
52% chance
Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?
10% chance
Will South Korea bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
70% chance
Will South Korea bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
53% chance
Will there be a mandatory military draft in the USA by the end of 2030?
16% chance
Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)?
Will there be a mandatory military draft in the USA by the end of 2060?
30% chance
Will the KAI KF-21 have entered service in South Korea or Indonesia by the end of 2027?
67% chance
Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?
65% chance
Will there be women left of reproductive age in South Korea in 2064?
94% chance