When will we see a new market of home consumer robots like Star Wars droids emerge that do more then clean our floors? | Manifold

When will we see a new market of home consumer robots like Star Wars droids emerge that do more then clean our floors?

4

Ṁ180Ṁ170

Jan 1

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

3%

20024

3%

2025

10%

2026

84%

Beyond or never

With AI innovation happening so fast it’s not hard to imagine Star Wars like droids in homes that are able to have conversations, play with kids, and perform any task that its physical form allows it to. If and when will this happen? Will this become a popular market with a droid in many homes?

Market context

Humanoid robotics

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@EronHoward why does this close this month?

@mattyb I set it for Jan 31 2024. Not sure if I can change it but should I leave it open longer?

@EronHoward yea, you can change the date by tapping it. i’d set it somewhere later so people can keep betting

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Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a commercially available humanoid android that can perform basic household tasks by 2035?

Will any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027?

What year will the robot dishwasher market resolve?

Will robots become our primary household chefs by the year 2035?

Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?

Will I be able to purchase a robot that folds my laundry for me by the end of 2030?

When will the first robot be made that can go into a near-arbitrary kitchen and make a cup of tea?

Will the average price of a home humanoid robot drop below $3,000 by the end of 2028?

What smart humanoid bots' capabilities will be showcased in videos by 2030?

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