A country with low TFR now has high TFR through 2030
4
110Ṁ2472030
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The original low TFR must have happened after the year 2018;
At any point if you can both show a streak of 3 post-2018 years of TFR < 1.5, AND a later streak of 2 years with TFR > 2.1, then YES, otherwise NO
The country must exist the entire time and not significantly change borders during the union of both intervals & intervening years.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get  1,000 to start trading!
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Japan's TFR surpass India's by 2030?
18% chance
US Total Fertility Rate in 2030?
Will Any Top-8 Economy See Its Birthrate Rise 5% from Its Lowest post-2015 Point by 2025?
31% chance
What will US total fertility rate be in 2030
1.5
By Mid 2028 people no longer believe Nagi Japan's population has a TFR over 2.5
31% chance
Will Japanese Total Fertility be below 1.2 by 2030?
77% chance
Will South Korea's total fertility rate exceed 1 by 2035
17% chance
Multi-market for Total Fertility Rate in each country in 2050 among HS grad women (x25)
Will any EU country achieve fertility rate >=2.0 by the end of 2032?
19% chance
Will US birth rates rise above 2.0 at any point before 2030?
11% chance