Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
64
Ṁ1kṀ5k2050
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The People's Republic of China ("China" in the title) has set 2049 as the target year for reunification. Will the Republic of China ("Taiwan" in the title) resist this?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?
70% chance
Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?
7% chance
Will china invade taiwan before 14 Jan 2026?
1% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
42% chance
Will a new Republic of China/Taiwan "government in exile" be formed by EOY2035?
48% chance
Will Taiwan join the UN by the end of 2030?
13% chance
By 2037, will China and Taiwan sign a non-aggression agreement?
17% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
38% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
43% chance
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
19% chance