Will National Governments Collectively Give More than $100M a year in funding for AI Alignment by 2030? | Manifold

Will National Governments Collectively Give More than $100M a year in funding for AI Alignment by 2030?

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241Ṁ236

2030

81%

chance

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6H

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Resolves positive if >$100M USD is granted in any calendar year before 2030, towards AI alignment efforts. I will deduct amount given to non-existential risk related projects (i.e. misinformation, bias, autonomous weapons).

I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria in the first 42 hours. And modifications will be made in good faith.

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Related questions

Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?

Will non-profit funding for AI safety reach 100 billion US dollars in a year before 2030?

Will a >$10B AI alignment megaproject start work before 2030?

Will we solve AI alignment by 2026?

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?

Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Will Meta AI start an AGI alignment team before 2026?

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Conditional on AI alignment being solved, will governments or other entities be capable of enforcing use of aligned AIs?

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