MANIFOLD
How many riders will wear the yellow jersey in the 2025 Tour de France?
45
Ṁ10kṀ100k
resolved Jul 27
100%98.3%
4
0.2%
3
0.6%
5
0.3%
6
0.3%
7
0.3%Other

The rider must actually 'officially' wear the jersey, either in the award ceremony at the end of a stage or in the race the next day.

The last time 5 riders wore the yellow jersey was 2020, and before that 2013. Most other years in that time span have seen 4 riders wear the yellow jersey.

In the 2024 edition, only 3 riders wore the yellow jersey.

Because the platform does not allow me to withdraw liquidity on this question type, I reserve the right to close this market at any time, and I may also consult in the comment section to reopen the market.

maillot jaune TDF le tour

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bought Ṁ250 YES

"How many riders will lead the race" is an awesome proxy for "how chaotic/entertaining will this be"....if it's going to be 2, everyone says it's boring. If it hits 7, 🚀

@Eliza Indeed a nice market! Thanks! If answers can resolve seperately here, "3" can resolve No.

opened a Ṁ25,000 NO at 1.0% order

@Primer We have to wait until it's all over, sadly. I did put up a generous order for No at 1% on the '3' option, so you can sell any shares you own for negligible loss compared to waiting.

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