Will Chinese students be banned from attending universities in the US before 2029?
8
100Ṁ270
2029
12%
chance

Background

Representative Riley Moore (R-West Virginia) introduced the "Stop CCP VISAs Act," which proposes banning Chinese nationals from obtaining student visas to study in the United States.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if before January 1, 2028:

  • The U.S. federal government enacts legislation, an executive order, or implements a policy that explicitly prohibits (or makes significantly more difficult) Chinese nationals from obtaining student visas (F-1, J-1, or equivalent) to attend universities in the United States.

  • It also counts if attendance of only a subset of subjects, degrees, or universities is restricted.

  • Threats to withdraw funding from universities who accept a significant number of Chinese students also count.

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