Magnitude 5.0+ earthquake in Turkey before September 2025
11
1kṀ356Aug 31
41%
chance
7
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Turkey is situated on major fault lines, making it prone to seismic activity. Notably, a 6.2 magnitude earthquake struck Istanbul on April 23, 2025. (ft.com) This market resolves to 'Yes' if an earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or greater occurs anywhere in Turkey between May 23, 2025, and August 31, 2025, as reported by the United States Geological Survey (USGS). (database.earth)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be an earthquake in germany in June 2025 with a magnitude (Richter Scale) of 4.0 or more?
8% chance
Magnitude 6.0+ earthquake in Southern California before August 5, 2025
18% chance
Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2025?
Will powerful (magnitude 8.0 or more) earthquake hit city of Almaty (this is a city in Kazakhstan) before end of 2025?
3% chance
Early presidential elections called in Turkey before December 31, 2025
16% chance
Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2026? (May 5)
63% chance
California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025?
6% chance
Turkey holds early parliamentary elections before December 31, 2025
32% chance
Will an earthquake over 6.4 magnitude happen before 2026 in the USA?
79% chance
Early presidential elections held in Turkey before December 31, 2025
14% chance