How many Indian-Pakistan conflict deaths before July?
21
100Ṁ486
Jun 30
2,693 people
expected
91%
Above 100
26%
Above 500
16%
Above 1,000
16%
Above 10,000

Total militant + civilian deaths in the present armed conflict. There have been at least 48 so far.

  • Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated they will wait for third-party confirmation of the death count before resolving the market.

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Some discussion on a coincidentally identical market on Metaculus if anyone is interested https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37328/india-pakistan-conflict-with-100-deaths-in-mayjune-2025/#comments

There have probably been 100 so far, but I will wait until there's more third-party confirmation to resolve.

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