100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
50
Ṁ100Ṁ4.3kMar 31
13%
chance
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by April 30, 2026, there are at least 100 US troops KIA or DOW, as listed by the DoD, attributable to conflict with Iran.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@DontGoHome Will you extend the resolution date if there is evidence suggesting the death toll has not been fully released by April 30th?
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