Will US strategic petroleum reserve be over 80% of the July 2020 level by December 2029?
Will US strategic petroleum reserve be over 80% of the July 2020 level by December 2029?
4
130Ṁ312029
68%
chance
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1W
1M
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656 million barrels in July 2020. 398 million in December 2022. Biden said will start refilling in February: https://www.politico.com/news/2022/12/16/biden-administration-strategic-petroleum-reserve-00074369
Resolves based on: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcsstus1&f=m
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@DismalScientist I'm optimistically extending the closing time on this to 2029, change it back if you disagree.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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