MANIFOLD
Will Gustavo Petro stay in the U.S. longer than 5 consecutive days starting Feb 3, 2026?
11
Ṁ1kṀ1.8k
resolved Feb 7
Resolved
NO
23

This question refers to Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s official visit to the United States, which includes an in-person meeting scheduled for February 3, 2026. The market evaluates whether his physical presence in the U.S. exceeds five consecutive days, regardless of any changes to the public agenda, extensions, or early departures.

  • Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves YES only if Petro stays more than 5 consecutive days in the U.S. A stay of exactly 5 days resolves NO.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ400
2Ṁ273
3Ṁ35
4Ṁ17
5Ṁ9
Sort by:

Resolving NO.

Official posts from the Colombian Presidency show the president back in Colombia attending emergency meetings related to heavy rains, confirming the U.S. visit did not exceed five consecutive days.

Sources: official social media and public agenda updates from the Presidency of Colombia. https://www.instagram.com/infopresidencia/

For resolution, is it days greater or equal to five or just greater than five?

@splice
Good question. The market resolves to YES only if the stay exceeds five consecutive days. Exactly five days does NOT count. It must be more than five.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy