Will Trump's import tariffs on Canada and Mexico be in effect and at least at 25% by EOY?

Ṁ100Ṁ800

resolved Jan 8

Resolved

YES

ALL

If there are import tariffs from the US on both Canada and Mexico that are 25% or higher by Jan 1 2026 this resolves to 'yes'. Otherwise 'no'.

Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The condition of 25% or higher tariffs applies if at least one type of good imported from both Canada and Mexico is subject to a US import tariff of 25% or more.

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Is that 25% or higher on at least one type of good? On all goods, even taking into account exemptions? On the average of all imports to that country?

@UnconditionalProbability Sorry for long delay - just saw this. Yes, 25% or higher on at least one type of good and in both countries.

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