MANIFOLD
What % of the voting-eligible population will vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ270
resolved Jan 6
100%94%
63-65
1.0%
< 50
1.1%
50-59
1.2%
60-62
1.8%
66-68
1.2%
> 69

Percentages are inclusive, so 50-59 includes 50.00000 -> 59.99999999

Will resolve with Pew Research Center data unless it is obvious beforehand.

  • Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria

    • Data source: Ballotpedia

    • Resolution will be based on Ballotpedia's reported voter turnout data for the 2024 general election.

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