Will public transportation ridership return to pre-pandemic levels by 2030?
Will public transportation ridership return to pre-pandemic levels by 2030?
6
220Ṁ1462030
83%
chance
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According to the National Transit Database, transit ridership measured in Unlinked Passenger Trips (UPT) totaled 6 billion UPT in 2022 and 4.5 billion UPT in 2023 as of August 2023. In 2019, riders took 9.7 billion UPT on transit.
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@DavidSchneiderdda6 you'll want to extend the market close date to 2030, it's currently set to 2023.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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