Will Apple announce intentions to acquire an AI company like Mistral or Perplexity to accelerate its AI capabilities? Resolution based on official announcements from Apple or acquired company confirming a beginning an acquisition.

Resolves positive even if blocked by regulators. Must be over $500 million

References:

• https://spyglass.org/10-big-predictions-for-2025/

• https://www.macrumors.com/2024/01/24/apple-big-ai-push-startup-acquisitions/

• Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An announced acquisition of a stake in an AI company will count for a YES resolution, provided the value of the stake is over $500M.

• Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a user question about “technically-not-an-acquisition” deals, the creator has confirmed a scenario that will resolve to YES:

  • Apple pays over $500M for a license to an AI company's technology.

  • AND Apple hires the CEO of that company.

  • This deal must be officially announced.