What happens in the aftermath of the russian (or belarus') drone invasion of 9th September 2025 over poland?
8
Ṁ375Ṁ455resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YESNATO's response is verbal; there is no escalation involving weapons.
Resolved
86%Air defence in eastern NATO territories to be strengthened as a priority
Resolved
50%Russia is violating the borders of another NATO member state with aircraft, vehicles or troops.
Resolved
NONato declares state of defence due to other following provocations or attacks (Art.5)
Resolved
NOAttack on a single strategic target on Russian soil by any NATO member
Resolved
NOA country declares its withdrawal from NATO
Resolved
NOIt is decided that air defence on NATO territory will also cover the western parts of Ukraine.
The answers shall formulate a causal consequence or occurrence, in the best case easily to resolve at the end of the period.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ77 | |
| 2 | Ṁ33 | |
| 3 | Ṁ18 | |
| 4 | Ṁ14 | |
| 5 | Ṁ5 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
8% chance
Russian crewed aircraft shot down in NATO airspace by 2026-03-19?
5% chance
Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
44% chance
Is Alex going to resolve his market about Russia's drone attack on Poland fairly?
55% chance
What happened in Poland on 9 and 10 September?
Will Poland attack Russia before 2030?
6% chance