Will the Federal Reserve exist and retain it's current level of independence by the end of Trump's term.
8
100แน€176
2029
55%
chance

Resolves NO if at any point before Jan 21st, 2029 independence of the Federal Reserve has been reduced. I'm open to refining resolution criteria until Trump's inauguration on Jan 21st 2025.

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1854783747264012792

Elon Musk has endorsed US Senator Mike Lee's call to end the Federal Reserve and give the president direct control over monetary policy.

I will not bet on this market.

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How will you resolve this? What if its independence is only slightly reduced?

I hope so

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