Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?
43
Ṁ10kṀ130kresolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
I will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if Google's market share for any month during calendar year 2025 is below 85%, according to Statcounter.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,141 | |
| 2 | Ṁ825 | |
| 3 | Ṁ694 | |
| 4 | Ṁ565 | |
| 5 | Ṁ537 |
Sort by:
The sweepstakes market for this question has been resolved to partial as we are shutting down sweepstakes. Please read the full announcement here. The mana market will continue as usual.
Only markets closing before March 3rd will be left open for trading and will be resolved as usual.
Users will be able to cashout or donate their entire sweepcash balance, regardless of whether it has been won in a sweepstakes or not, by March 28th (for amounts above our minimum threshold of $25).
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?
35% chance
Google search's market share in 2030 is less than 75%
45% chance
When will a company surpass Google in terms of search marketshare?
Will a company replace Google's dominant market position by 2028?
25% chance
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?
89% chance
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
40% chance
Bing's market share of search passes google's by 2030
19% chance
Will Google disappear before 2034?
4% chance
Will Google remain no.1 on lmarena until EOY 2026?
11% chance
Will Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?
89% chance