Will the metric exceed 260.0 million tonnes by May 2026?
0
Ṁ100May 31
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if threshold exceeded by May 31, 2026. Indonesia's cut on the mining work-plan quota reduces global nickel supply, affecting the raw ore availability for smelters, and tightening the market. (Generated from article 0, LLM error: Connection error.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the platinum supply deficit exceed 26 metric tonnes in 2025 according to WPIC?
97% chance
Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
76% chance
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 250 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
62% chance
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 230 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
63% chance
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 270 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
18% chance
Will the LME nickel futures price exceed 8500 USD/tonne on July 1, 2026?
91% chance
By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?
60% chance
Will the LME nickel price exceed 9500 USD/tonne on July 1, 2026?
87% chance
Will the avg BMI 99.9% Sc2O3 (EXW China) price for May 2026 exceed 2500 USD/kg?
10% chance
Will the avg BMI 99.9% Sc2O3 (EXW China) price for May 2026 exceed 800 USD/kg?
38% chance