Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100?
4
Ṁ500Ṁ4.1k2099
98.4%
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle, a species that is classified as “Critically Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2018). It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the species persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about the complete extinction risk, including captive individuals:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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