MANIFOLD
When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?
4
Ṁ295Ṁ295
2100
25%
chance

Resolves YES if the value reported by NSIDC reaches <1% of the current minimum (~18000 km^2):

source: https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/

Market context
Environment
Climate
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bought Ṁ250 NO

I think there's a typo in the title and you meant to leave out "when".

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