MANIFOLD
Unexpected NFL Division winner?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ1.4k
resolved Dec 28
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES

if one of

  • AFC East: Dolphins, Jets (~1%)

  • AFC North: Bengals, Browns (~10%)

  • AFC South: Texans, Titans (~10%)

  • AFC West: Raiders (~1%)

  • NFC East: Cowboys, Giants (~10%)

  • NFC North: Vikings, Bears (~15%)

  • NFC South: Falcons, Panthers, Saints (~20%)

  • NFC West: Cardinals (~1%)

wins their division

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bought Ṁ150 YES

Bears: 89%

Panthers: 40%

Texans: 20%

so

1 - 11% x 60% x 80% is about 95% chance

bought Ṁ50 YES

Current Update (rough, from memory):

Bengals: 3%

Texans: 35%

Cowboys: 10%

Bears: 25%

Panthers: 45%

so I bet it up to 77%

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