MANIFOLD
NYC Dem Primary Pairwise preferences
4
Ṁ100Ṁ1.4k
resolved Jul 26
Resolved
YES
Mamdani > Cuomo
Resolved
NO
Lander > Mamdani
Resolved
YES
Lander > Cuomo

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https://fairvote.org/new-york-city-cast-vote-record-initial-analysis/

Looks like Lander beat Cuomo 54.4% to 45.6%

the cross endorsement really helped with 65% of Mamdani voters having him 2nd

Interesting how the market was at 2% since I assumed a 39-14 lead for Cuomo would've been sufficient to beat Lander but Anyone but Cuomo clearly worked with 3 candidates beating Cuomo head to head

@ChinmayTheMathGuy @jonathan why'd you bet it down? You saw something different?

Can I resolve?

@ChinmayTheMathGuy I also assumed that 39-14 would be sufficient and I didn't see the article lol

Yeah you can resolve

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